"Do you not have a heavy burden of justification to show authorization under the Constitution" for the individual mandate? asked Justice Anthony Kennedy today at the SCOTUS argument on the individual mandate.
My prediction: Kennedy will find that the government has met its heavy burden. All the current breathlessness about the administration's "train wreck" this morning is hype. The individual mandate will survive. The vote could easily be 6-3. An 8-1 result would not shock me.
Of course, I'd be pleased to be proven incorrect.