From the NY Times:
[T]he emergence of gays as a more vocal presence in Republican politics is angering some leaders of conservative groups. In recent weeks, those groups have been sending pointed messages to the White House warning that President Bush's re-election is in jeopardy if he continues to court what they call the "homosexual lobby."But what is their threat really? Will they vote for the Democrat? Will they pull their support for Bush, who they would prefer over the Democrat, at the risk of splitting the party and letting the Democrat win anyway? I never understand these sorts of threats. Maybe I'm just stupid. Or maybe they are.